San Diego, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
San Diego Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA single family
home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, July 2,
2013. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
San Diego Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  14937
2nd Quarter, 2013 Housing Statistics: San Diego, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the San Diego housing market for the 12
months ending with the 2nd Quarter of 2014 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for San Diego is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in San
Diego is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 2nd Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 2nd
Quarter of 2013. Check this page each quarter for updates to the San Diego
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the San Diego housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 2nd Quarter of 2016 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for San Diego is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in San
Diego is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 2nd Quarter of 2016 than they were in the 2nd
Quarter of 2013. Check this page each quarter for updates to the San Diego
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
2nd Quarter, 2013 Housing Data: San Diego, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         4.74%
Last Year                              11.1%
Last 5 Years                         -8%
Last 10 Years                       14%
Last 20 Years                       121%
Decline From All Time High   27.31%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983      2.32%
1984      4.00%
1985      4.46%
1986      7.80%
1987      9.74%
1988      17.51%
1989      19.32%
1990      1.46%
1991      -0.11%
1992      -2.20%
1993      -3.13%
1994      -4.74%
1995      1.40%
1996      -0.71%
1997      4.80%
1998      11.14%
1999      10.49%
2000      15.49%
2001      11.68%
2002      17.24%
2003      16.78%
2004      27.03%
2005      10.78%
2006      -1.62%
2007      -9.65%
2008      -19.07%
2009      -4.02%
2010      0.03%
2011      -4.25%
2012      3.22%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              4.74%         Rank: 20 of 381 (95th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  11.1%          Rank: 22 of 381 (94th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -8%             Rank: 178 of 381 (53rd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   14%            Rank: 223 of 381 (41st Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            121%          Rank: 34 of 372 (91st Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        27.31%

The change in home prices for San Diego-Carlsbad, CA are shown above for
five time periods. For example: San Diego appreciated 4.74% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the San Diego Real Estate Market was ranked 20th out of
381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. San Diego was in the 95th percentile. So
San Diego, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 95% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
2nd Quarter, 2013 Housing Statistics: San Diego, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to San Diego-Carlsbad, CA,
hereinafter referred to as "San Diego". The all time high in the San Diego Home
Price Index was 323.6 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 2nd Quarter, 2013 index
value was 235.2. That's a decline of 88.36 points or 27.31% below the San
Diego Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
San Diego Market is up 14% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the San
Diego Real Estate Market have gained 11.10% over the last 12 months. Over
the last thirty years, it is up 309%.

The 2nd Quarter index value was 10.64 points higher than the 1st Quarter,
2013 index value of 224.56, resulting in a 4.74% rise in the 2nd Quarter for the
San Diego Market.

The San Diego Home Price Index has increased for the last 4 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 13 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index
are Wichita Falls, TX; Toledo, OH; Springfield, OH; Scranton, PA and Rockford,
IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the San Diego Real Estate
Market was 32% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual change in home values  in the San Diego Market was -20% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the San Diego Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 88% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1979. The worst performance over a three year period in the San Diego Market
was -32% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the San Diego Home Price Index
(above). For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about San Diego Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the San Diego Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the San Diego Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
2nd Quarter, 2013 Housing Data: San Diego, California

The trend of San Diego Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to San Diego-Carlsbad, CA, hereinafter referred to as "San Diego".

Last Quarter:
During the 2nd Quarter of 2013, San Diego Home Prices had a rank of 20, with
appreciation of 4.74%. The top performing real estate market during the 2nd
Quarter was Stockton, CA, with a rise of 7.33%. The worst market during that
period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -3.13%.
The median for all cities during the 2nd Quarter was 0.71%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.07%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, San Diego Home Prices had a rank of 22, with
appreciation during the year of 11.10%. The top performing market during the
last year was Stockton, CA, with an increase of 19.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Norwich, CT, with appreciation of -3.4%.
The median for all markets during this period was 1.95%. The average was
3.25%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2013, San Diego Home Prices
ranked 178, with a total appreciation of -7.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Bismarck, ND, with a growth in value of
29%. The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation
of -39%.
The median for all cities during this time period was -8%. The average over the
5 years was -9%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 2nd Quarter of 2013, San Diego Home Prices
had a rank of 223, with appreciation during the decade of 14%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with a rise of 115%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -30%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 17%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 17%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 2nd Quarter of 2013, San Diego Home Prices
had a rank of 34, with total growth over the 20 year period of 121%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with an
increase of 206%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las Vegas,
NV, with appreciation of 19%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 78%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 80%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the San Diego Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for San Diego. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)








Commentary  14175
1st Quarter, 2013 Housing Statistics: San Diego, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the San Diego housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2014 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for San Diego is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in San
Diego is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2013. Check this page each quarter for updates to the San Diego
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the San Diego housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 1st Quarter of 2016 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast
for San Diego is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in San
Diego is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2016 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2013. Check this page each quarter for updates to the San Diego
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2013 Housing Data: San Diego, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.85%
Last Year                              5.7%
Last 5 Years                         -18%
Last 10 Years                       11%
Last 20 Years                       109%
Decline From All Time High   30.59%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983      2.27%
1984      4.03%
1985      4.44%
1986      7.81%
1987      9.72%
1988      17.51%
1989      19.33%
1990      1.45%
1991      -0.11%
1992      -2.20%
1993      -3.12%
1994      -4.74%
1995      1.40%
1996      -0.71%
1997      4.80%
1998      11.14%
1999      10.48%
2000      15.49%
2001      11.68%
2002      17.23%
2003      16.78%
2004      26.97%
2005      10.82%
2006      -1.63%
2007      -9.65%
2008      -18.96%
2009      -3.97%
2010      0.04%
2011      -4.25%
2012      3.18%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.85%         Rank: 56 of 381 (85th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  5.7%           Rank: 44 of 381 (88th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -18%           Rank: 268 of 381 (29th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   11%            Rank: 251 of 381 (34th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            109%          Rank: 59 of 369 (84th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        30.59%

The change in home prices for San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA are shown
above for five time periods. For example: San Diego appreciated 1.85% in the
Last Quarter. At that rate, the San Diego Real Estate Market was ranked 56th
out of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. San Diego was in the 85th
percentile. So San Diego, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 85% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2013 Housing Statistics: San Diego, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to San Diego-Carlsbad-San
Marcos, CA, hereinafter referred to as "San Diego". The all time high in the San
Diego Home Price Index was 323.4 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 1st Quarter,
2013 index value was 224.5. That's a decline of 98.92 points or 30.59% below
the San Diego Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates
that the San Diego Market is up 11% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the
San Diego Real Estate Market have gained 5.75% over the last 12 months.
Over the last thirty years, it is up 285%.

The 1st Quarter index value was 4.07 points higher than the 4th Quarter, 2012
index value of 220.40, resulting in a 1.85% rise in the 1st Quarter for the San
Diego Market.

The San Diego Home Price Index has increased for the last 3 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 12 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index
are Wichita Falls, TX; Toledo, OH; Scranton, PA; Sandusky, OH and Rockford,
IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the San Diego Real Estate
Market was 32% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual change in home values  in the San Diego Market was -19% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the San Diego Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 88% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1979. The worst performance over a three year period in the San Diego Market
was -31% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the San Diego Home Price Index
(above). For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about San Diego Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the San Diego Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the San Diego Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2013 Housing Data: San Diego, California

The trend of San Diego Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA, hereinafter referred to as "San Diego".

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2013, San Diego Home Prices had a rank of 56, with
appreciation of 1.85%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Napa, CA, with a rise of 4.80%. The worst market during that
period was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of -5.62%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 0.04%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.17%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, San Diego Home Prices had a rank of 44, with
appreciation during the year of 5.75%. The top performing market during the
last year was Phoenix, AZ, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Pine Bluff, AR, with appreciation of -5.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 1.00%. The average was
1.58%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2013, San Diego Home Prices
ranked 268, with a total appreciation of -17.9%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with a growth in value of 22%.
The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation of
-49%.
The median for all cities during this time period was -10%. The average over
the 5 years was -12%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2013, San Diego Home Prices
had a rank of 251, with appreciation during the decade of 11%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with a rise of 109%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -31%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 17%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 17%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2013, San Diego Home Prices
had a rank of 59, with total growth over the 20 year period of 109%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with an
increase of 213%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las Vegas,
NV, with appreciation of 12%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 77%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 80%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the San Diego Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for San Diego. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)










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