San Diego, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
San Diego Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA single family
home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Thursday, July
23, 2015. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
San Diego Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  18747
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: San Diego, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the San Diego housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for San Diego is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in San
Diego is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the San Diego
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

The forecast for the trend in the San Diego housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2017 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for San Diego is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in San
Diego is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2017 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the San Diego
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: San Diego, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.76%
Last Year                              8.7%
Last 5 Years                         24%
Last 10 Years                       -4%
Last 20 Years                       168%
Decline From All Time High   16.32%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1984      4.02%
1985      4.43%
1986      7.83%
1987      9.74%
1988      17.50%
1989      19.33%
1990      1.45%
1991      -0.11%
1992      -2.19%
1993      -3.13%
1994      -4.73%
1995      1.41%
1996      -0.72%
1997      4.79%
1998      11.14%
1999      10.50%
2000      15.49%
2001      11.69%
2002      17.24%
2003      16.81%
2004      27.08%
2005      10.78%
2006      -1.58%
2007      -9.71%
2008      -19.28%
2009      -3.96%
2010      -0.02%
2011      -4.30%
2012      3.19%
2013      17.13%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.76%         Rank: 153 of 381 (60th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  8.7%           Rank: 68 of 381 (82nd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              24%            Rank: 15 of 381 (96th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -4%            Rank: 316 of 381 (17th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            168%          Rank: 11 of 378 (97th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        16.32%

The change in home prices for San Diego-Carlsbad, CA are shown above for
five time periods. For example: San Diego appreciated 1.76% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the San Diego Real Estate Market was ranked 153rd out
of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. San Diego was in the 60th percentile.
So San Diego, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 60% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: San Diego, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to San Diego-Carlsbad, CA,
hereinafter referred to as "San Diego". The all time high in the San Diego Home
Price Index was 324.0 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 3rd Quarter, 2014 index
value was 271.1. That's a decline of 52.88 points or 16.32% below the San
Diego Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
San Diego Market is down 4% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the San
Diego Real Estate Market have gained 8.66% over the last 12 months. Over the
last thirty years, it is up 335%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 4.68 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2014
index value of 266.39, resulting in a 1.76% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the San
Diego Market.

The San Diego Home Price Index has increased for the last 9 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 13 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Terre Haute, IN, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the San Diego Real Estate
Market was 32% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual change in home values  in the San Diego Market was -20% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the San Diego Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 88% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1979. The worst performance over a three year period in the San Diego Market
was -32% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the San Diego Home Price Index
(above). For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about San Diego Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the San Diego Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the San Diego Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: San Diego, California

The trend of San Diego Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to San Diego-Carlsbad, CA, hereinafter referred to as "San Diego".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2014, San Diego Home Prices had a rank of 153, with
appreciation of 1.76%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Johnstown, PA, with a rise of 7.10%. The worst market during that
period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -4.09%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.44%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.49%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, San Diego Home Prices had a rank of 68, with
appreciation during the year of 8.66%. The top performing market during the
last year was Madera, CA, with an increase of 19.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of -4.5%.
The median for all markets during this period was 3.94%. The average was
4.71%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2014, San Diego Home Prices
ranked 15, with a total appreciation of 23.7%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Merced, CA, with a growth in value of 45%.
The worst market during that period was Ocala, FL, with appreciation of -16%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 1%. The average over the
5 years was 3%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, San Diego Home Prices
had a rank of 316, with appreciation during the decade of -4%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with a rise of 129%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Las Vegas, NV, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 10%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 11%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, San Diego Home Prices
had a rank of 11, with total growth over the 20 year period of 168%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 229%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 23%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 75%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 82%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the San Diego Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for San Diego. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)





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