The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Danville, IL single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
Danville, IL - House Price Index (HPI)
Danville Real Estate Market Forecast  (IL)
Danville Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  2574.56
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Danville, Illinois


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      65%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Danville housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2019 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Projection for Danville is 65%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 65% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Danville is 65% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2019 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Danville Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      73%

The forecast for the trend in the Danville housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2021 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction
for Danville is 73%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 73% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Danville is 73% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Danville Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Danville, Illinois


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -0.24%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.5%
Last 5 Years                                     8%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Last 20 Years                                   35%
Decline From All Time High               5.41%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990        n/a
1991        n/a
1992        n/a
1993      -0.07%
1994      2.00%
1995      7.19%
1996      6.70%
1997      2.47%
1998      4.58%
1999      -0.25%
2000      5.73%
2001      4.32%
2002      4.53%
2003      2.47%
2004      6.89%
2005      2.71%
2006      -0.02%
2007      6.43%
2008      -3.69%
2009      -1.16%
2010      -2.88%
2011      1.61%
2012      -3.57%
2013      1.57%
2014      -1.56%
2015      7.31%
2016      1.13%
2017      -0.78%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.24%        Rank: 323 of 381 (15th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.5%          Rank: 377 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              8%              Rank: 357 of 381 (6th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   1%              Rank: 331 of 381 (13th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            35%            Rank: 358 of 379 (5th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        5.41%

The change in home prices for Danville, IL are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Danville appreciated -0.24% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Danville Real Estate Market was ranked 323rd out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Danville was in the 15th percentile. So Danville, IL
performed better in the Last Quarter than 15% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Danville, Illinois

The all time high in the Danville Home Price Index was 172.3 in the 3rd Quarter,
of 2007. The 3rd Quarter, 2018 index value was 163.0. That's a decline of 9.33
points or 5.41% below the Danville Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Danville Market is up 1% over the last 10 years.
Home Prices in the Danville Real Estate Market have lost 2.54% over the last
12 months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 0.39 points lower than the 2nd Quarter, 2018
index value of 163.39, resulting in a 0.24% decline for the 3rd Quarter in the
Danville Market.

The Danville Home Price Index has declined for the last 2 consecutive quarters.
That makes Danville the current record holder for consecutive quarterly
declines in the Home Price Index (along with Winchester, VA; Trenton, NJ;
Peoria, IL and Great Falls, MT; which also had 2 consecutive quarterly
declines). The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 29 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Danville Real Estate
Market was 14% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1996. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Danville Market was -6% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Danville Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 21% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1998. The worst performance over a three year period in the Danville Market
was -9% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Danville Home Price Index (above).
For information about Illinois home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts
in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Danville Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Danville Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Danville Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Danville, Illinois

The trend of Danville Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Danville Home Prices had a rank of 323, with
appreciation of -0.24%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Sumter, SC, with a rise of 13.55%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -5.75%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.57%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.54%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Danville Home Prices had a rank of 377, with
appreciation during the year of -2.54%. The top performing market during the
last year was Las Vegas, NV, with an increase of 18.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -5.6%.
The median for all markets during this period was 6.14%. The average was
6.07%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Danville Home Prices
ranked 357, with a total appreciation of 7.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 81%.
The worst market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of
-2%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 24%. The average over the
5 years was 28%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Danville Home Prices
had a rank of 331, with appreciation during the decade of 1%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 83%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Vineland, NJ, with
appreciation of -19%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 20%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Danville Home Prices
had a rank of 358, with total growth over the 20 year period of 35%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 289%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 21%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 83%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 92%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Danville Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Danville. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, December 20, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.




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